Flood protection: Adaptation significantly reduces damage and deaths!

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The Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research analyzes flood adaptations since 1950 and their economic effects.

Das Potsdam-Institut für Klimafolgenforschung analysiert Überschwemmungsanpassungen seit 1950 und deren wirtschaftliche Auswirkungen.
The Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research analyzes flood adaptations since 1950 and their economic effects.

Flood protection: Adaptation significantly reduces damage and deaths!

A comprehensive analysis of flood damage in Europe conducted by the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) shows significant success in adapting to floods. According to the study, which examined 1,729 floods between 1950 and 2020, various adaptation measures reduced economic damage from floods by an impressive 63 percent and reduced the death toll by 52 percent. [uni-potsdam.de] reports that many people in endangered areas take private precautionary measures and rely on early warning systems and emergency plans.

These developments are particularly important given increasing flood risks caused by a combination of heavy rainfall and storm surges, as well as increased exposure in urban areas. The vulnerability of people and property also plays a crucial role. Dominik Paprotny, researcher at PIK and lead author of the study, emphasizes that adaptation measures since 1950 have successfully countered the growing risks, including in the context of climate change. Still, research shows that progress has slowed over the past 20 years, indicating the need for further efforts.

Long-term trends and challenges

While absolute economic losses due to flooding have almost doubled - from €37 billion in the 1950s to €71 billion in the last decade - the economic burden as a percentage of gross domestic product (GDP) has fallen by a third. This shows that the economy has grown faster than the damage. However, Katja Frieler, co-author of the study, warns that adaptive abilities have limits and the risks will increase with continued global warming. It is crucial to continuously monitor the progress of adaptation measures in the light of climate change while reducing global greenhouse gas emissions to keep the impacts within manageable limits.

The research results were recently published in the journal Science Advances and highlight the need to develop additional strategies. Above all, the development of adaptation concepts in the water management, as aimed at by the “WASKlim-EUS” project, shows how important it is to create decision-making aids for investments and planning. These concepts help to obtain information from climate and water balance simulations and thus avoid concrete usage conflicts as a result of climate changes [umweltbundesamt.de].

Conclusion and outlook

Given recent severe floods, such as the flood in the Ahr Valley in 2021, it is clear that the challenges are increasing. While adaptation measures have had an impact over the last few decades, the need for more investment and improvements remains essential. Only through a combination of technological progress, social commitment and a proactive approach can the increase in flood risks be managed in the long term. [rheinpfalz.de] emphasizes that success in adapting to flooding depends not only on structural measures, but also on the active participation of society and the further development of effective early warning systems.